North Carolina A&T
W-L: (17-29) PR = 90.1300Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Northern Illinois MA ( 7- 4, 93.5) 2-10 214 H Northern Illinois MA ( 7- 4, 93.5) 10- 3 216 H Northern Illinois MA ( 7- 4, 93.5) 5- 6 218 H Florida A&M SWAC ( 7- 5, 90.7) 3- 4 220 H Richmond A10 ( 8-10, 90.8) 3- 0 221 A App State SB (31-23, 95.2) 0-10 222 A Queens University AS (15-39, 89.8) 6- 3 224 A North Carolina ACC (54-14, 98.8) 1- 9 301 A Wright State HL (10-12, 94.1) 4- 3 303 A Incarnate Word SL ( 2- 4, 91.9) 1- 1 306 H UC Riverside BW (15-35, 89.6) 2- 2 307 A Elon CA (22-27, 91.9) 3- 8 308 A Elon CA (22-27, 91.9) 8-11 311 H UNC Greensboro SO ( 7-14, 91.9) 7- 9 313 H Campbell CA (40-17, 95.4) 11-21 314 H Campbell CA (40-17, 95.4) 0-10 315 H Campbell CA (40-17, 95.4) 7- 4 320 A William & Mary CA (20-30, 91.5) 5- 9 321 H Virginia ACC (38-24, 96.1) 5- 4 322 A William & Mary CA (20-30, 91.5) 10-11 324 A Gardner-Webb BSO ( 6- 8, 92.2) 10- 6 327 H Georgetown BE (25-29, 91.1) 6-17 328 H Georgetown BE (25-29, 91.1) 13- 8 329 H Georgetown BE (25-29, 91.1) 3- 2 331 H Gardner-Webb BSO ( 6- 8, 92.2) 16- 6 403 H Elon CA (22-27, 91.9) 3-10 404 H Elon CA (22-27, 91.9) 3-11 404 H Elon CA (22-27, 91.9) 6- 5 407 H Queens University AS (15-39, 89.8) 2- 3 410 H Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 5- 5 411 A Charleston CA (27-27, 93.1) 4- 6 412 A Charleston CA (27-27, 93.1) 5-10 414 H High Point BSO ( 8-12, 93.3) 10- 4 417 H Northeastern CA (33-25, 94.4) 0-15 418 H Northeastern CA (33-25, 94.4) 5-12 419 H Northeastern CA (33-25, 94.4) 5-15 421 H UNC Asheville BSO ( 2- 6, 88.6) 4- 1 424 H William & Mary CA (20-30, 91.5) 5-14 426 H William & Mary CA (20-30, 91.5) 0- 9 428 A Winthrop BSO ( 6-11, 92.1) 9- 3 501 A Campbell CA (40-17, 95.4) 1-11 502 A Campbell CA (40-17, 95.4) 0- 8 503 A Campbell CA (40-17, 95.4) 2- 8 508 H UNC Wilmington CA (29-28, 94.3) 2-18 509 H UNC Wilmington CA (29-28, 94.3) 7-10 510 H UNC Wilmington CA (29-28, 94.3) 7- 2 514 H Nicholls SL ( 1-13, 90.0) 4- 3 515 H Washington B10 (24-32, 93.9) 10- 5 516 A Monmouth CA (31-23, 93.1) 7- 8
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Northern Illinois 2-10 -8 -3 -- -5.27
214 H Northern Illinois 10- 3 7 -3 +++ 9.73
216 H Northern Illinois 5- 6 -1 -3 1.73
218 H Florida A&M 3- 4 -1 0 -1.11
220 H Richmond 3- 0 3 0 + 3.02
221 A App State 0-10 -10 -6 -- -4.28
222 A Queens University 6- 3 3 0 + 3.32
224 A North Carolina 1- 9 -8 -9 1.34
301 A Wright State 4- 3 1 -5 ++ 5.67
303 A Incarnate Word 1- 1 0 -2 + 2.47
306 H UC Riverside 2- 2 0 1 -1.20
307 A Elon 3- 8 -5 -2 - -2.55
308 A Elon 8-11 -3 -2 -0.55
311 H UNC Greensboro 7- 9 -2 -1 -0.87
313 H Campbell 11-21 -10 -5 -- -5.44
314 H Campbell 0-10 -10 -5 -- -5.44
315 H Campbell 7- 4 3 -5 +++ 7.56
320 A William & Mary 5- 9 -4 -2 -1.93
321 H Virginia 5- 4 1 -5 +++ 6.30
322 A William & Mary 10-11 -1 -2 1.07
324 A Gardner-Webb 10- 6 4 -3 +++ 6.78
327 H Georgetown 6-17 -11 0 --- -10.69
328 H Georgetown 13- 8 5 0 ++ 5.31
329 H Georgetown 3- 2 1 0 1.31
331 H Gardner-Webb 16- 6 10 -1 +++ 11.43
403 H Elon 3-10 -7 -1 -- -5.90
404 H Elon 3-11 -8 -1 --- -6.90
404 H Elon 6- 5 1 -1 + 2.10
407 H Queens University 2- 3 -1 1 - -2.03
410 H Eastern Kentucky 5- 5 0 0 0.41
411 A Charleston 4- 6 -2 -4 1.66
412 A Charleston 5-10 -5 -4 -1.34
414 H High Point 10- 4 6 -2 +++ 8.47
417 H Northeastern 0-15 -15 -4 --- -10.38
418 H Northeastern 5-12 -7 -4 - -3.38
419 H Northeastern 5-15 -10 -4 --- -6.38
421 H UNC Asheville 4- 1 3 2 0.79
424 H William & Mary 5-14 -9 -1 --- -8.29
426 H William & Mary 0- 9 -9 -1 --- -8.29
428 A Winthrop 9- 3 6 -3 +++ 8.60
501 A Campbell 1-11 -10 -6 -- -4.09
502 A Campbell 0- 8 -8 -6 - -2.09
503 A Campbell 2- 8 -6 -6 -0.09
508 H UNC Wilmington 2-18 -16 -4 --- -10.49
509 H UNC Wilmington 7-10 -3 -4 0.51
510 H UNC Wilmington 7- 2 5 -4 +++ 8.51
514 H Nicholls 4- 3 1 1 0.19
515 H Washington 10- 5 5 -3 +++ 8.07
516 A Monmouth 7- 8 -1 -4 + 2.62
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 327 H Georgetown 6-17 -11 0 --- -10.69 404 H Elon 3-11 -8 -1 --- -6.90 417 H Northeastern 0-15 -15 -4 --- -10.38 419 H Northeastern 5-15 -10 -4 --- -6.38 424 H William & Mary 5-14 -9 -1 --- -8.29 426 H William & Mary 0- 9 -9 -1 --- -8.29 508 H UNC Wilmington 2-18 -16 -4 --- -10.49 213 H Northern Illinois 2-10 -8 -3 -- -5.27 221 A App State 0-10 -10 -6 -- -4.28 313 H Campbell 11-21 -10 -5 -- -5.44 314 H Campbell 0-10 -10 -5 -- -5.44 403 H Elon 3-10 -7 -1 -- -5.90 501 A Campbell 1-11 -10 -6 -- -4.09 307 A Elon 3- 8 -5 -2 - -2.55 407 H Queens University 2- 3 -1 1 - -2.03 418 H Northeastern 5-12 -7 -4 - -3.38 502 A Campbell 0- 8 -8 -6 - -2.09 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 H Northern Illinois 10- 3 7 -3 +++ 9.73 315 H Campbell 7- 4 3 -5 +++ 7.56 321 H Virginia 5- 4 1 -5 +++ 6.30 324 A Gardner-Webb 10- 6 4 -3 +++ 6.78 331 H Gardner-Webb 16- 6 10 -1 +++ 11.43 414 H High Point 10- 4 6 -2 +++ 8.47 428 A Winthrop 9- 3 6 -3 +++ 8.60 510 H UNC Wilmington 7- 2 5 -4 +++ 8.51 515 H Washington 10- 5 5 -3 +++ 8.07 301 A Wright State 4- 3 1 -5 ++ 5.67 328 H Georgetown 13- 8 5 0 ++ 5.31 220 H Richmond 3- 0 3 0 + 3.02 222 A Queens University 6- 3 3 0 + 3.32 303 A Incarnate Word 1- 1 0 -2 + 2.47 404 H Elon 6- 5 1 -1 + 2.10 516 A Monmouth 7- 8 -1 -4 + 2.62 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Northern Illin ( 7- 4, 93.5) 2-10 -6.36 12.07 -0.68 0.59 -2.08
3 H Northern Illin ( 7- 4, 93.5) 10- 3 -6.36 12.07 -0.68 0.59 13.45
3 H Northern Illin ( 7- 4, 93.5) 5- 6 -6.36 12.07 -0.68 0.59 -2.08
3 H Florida A&M ( 7- 5, 90.7) 3- 4 -9.20 9.23 -0.68 0.59 -2.91
3 H Richmond ( 8-10, 90.8) 3- 0 -9.07 9.35 -0.68 0.59 10.24
3 A App State (31-23, 95.2) 0-10 -4.72 13.70 0.68 0.59 -1.19
3 A Queens Univers (15-39, 89.8) 6- 3 -10.12 8.30 0.68 0.59 10.60
3 A North Carolina (54-14, 98.8) 1- 9 -1.10 17.32 0.68 0.59 -0.13
3 A Wright State (10-12, 94.1) 4- 3 -5.77 12.65 0.68 0.59 15.73
3 H UC Riverside (15-35, 89.6) 2- 2 -10.30 8.13 -0.68 0.59 0.00
3 A Elon (22-27, 91.9) 3- 8 -8.00 10.43 0.68 0.59 -2.16
3 A Elon (22-27, 91.9) 8-11 -8.00 10.43 0.68 0.59 -2.16
3 H UNC Greensboro ( 7-14, 91.9) 7- 9 -7.96 10.46 -0.68 0.59 -2.55
3 H Campbell (40-17, 95.4) 11-21 -4.54 13.89 -0.68 0.59 -1.54
3 H Campbell (40-17, 95.4) 0-10 -4.54 13.89 -0.68 0.59 -1.54
3 H Campbell (40-17, 95.4) 7- 4 -4.54 13.89 -0.68 0.59 15.60
3 A William & Mary (20-30, 91.5) 5- 9 -8.38 10.05 0.68 0.59 -2.27
3 H Virginia (38-24, 96.1) 5- 4 -3.80 14.63 -0.68 0.59 16.47
3 A William & Mary (20-30, 91.5) 10-11 -8.38 10.05 0.68 0.59 -2.27
3 A Gardner-Webb ( 6- 8, 92.2) 10- 6 -7.67 10.76 0.68 0.59 13.50
3 H Georgetown (25-29, 91.1) 6-17 -8.78 9.65 -0.68 0.59 -2.79
3 H Georgetown (25-29, 91.1) 13- 8 -8.78 9.65 -0.68 0.59 10.59
3 H Georgetown (25-29, 91.1) 3- 2 -8.78 9.65 -0.68 0.59 10.59
3 H Gardner-Webb ( 6- 8, 92.2) 16- 6 -7.67 10.76 -0.68 0.59 11.90
3 H Elon (22-27, 91.9) 3-10 -8.00 10.43 -0.68 0.59 -2.56
3 H Elon (22-27, 91.9) 3-11 -8.00 10.43 -0.68 0.59 -2.56
3 H Elon (22-27, 91.9) 6- 5 -8.00 10.43 -0.68 0.59 11.51
3 H Queens Univers (15-39, 89.8) 2- 3 -10.12 8.30 -0.68 0.59 -3.19
3 H Eastern Kentuc (17-34, 91.2) 5- 5 -8.69 9.74 -0.68 0.59 0.00
3 A Charleston (27-27, 93.1) 4- 6 -6.79 11.64 0.68 0.59 -1.80
3 A Charleston (27-27, 93.1) 5-10 -6.79 11.64 0.68 0.59 -1.80
3 H High Point ( 8-12, 93.3) 10- 4 -6.62 11.80 -0.68 0.59 13.14
3 H Northeastern (33-25, 94.4) 0-15 -5.47 12.95 -0.68 0.59 -1.81
3 H Northeastern (33-25, 94.4) 5-12 -5.47 12.95 -0.68 0.59 -1.81
3 H Northeastern (33-25, 94.4) 5-15 -5.47 12.95 -0.68 0.59 -1.81
3 H UNC Asheville ( 2- 6, 88.6) 4- 1 -11.30 7.13 -0.68 0.59 7.61
3 H William & Mary (20-30, 91.5) 5-14 -8.38 10.05 -0.68 0.59 -2.67
3 H William & Mary (20-30, 91.5) 0- 9 -8.38 10.05 -0.68 0.59 -2.67
3 A Winthrop ( 6-11, 92.1) 9- 3 -7.84 10.58 0.68 0.59 13.29
3 A Campbell (40-17, 95.4) 1-11 -4.54 13.89 0.68 0.59 -1.14
3 A Campbell (40-17, 95.4) 0- 8 -4.54 13.89 0.68 0.59 -1.14
3 A Campbell (40-17, 95.4) 2- 8 -4.54 13.89 0.68 0.59 -1.14
3 H UNC Wilmington (29-28, 94.3) 2-18 -5.59 12.84 -0.68 0.59 -1.85
3 H UNC Wilmington (29-28, 94.3) 7-10 -5.59 12.84 -0.68 0.59 -1.85
3 H UNC Wilmington (29-28, 94.3) 7- 2 -5.59 12.84 -0.68 0.59 14.36
3 H Nicholls ( 1-13, 90.0) 4- 3 -9.90 8.53 -0.68 0.59 9.27
3 H Washington (24-32, 93.9) 10- 5 -6.03 12.40 -0.68 0.59 13.84
3 A Monmouth (31-23, 93.1) 7- 8 -6.82 11.60 0.68 0.59 -1.81
------
154.39
|
winning pts = 211.6933 losing points = -57.3045
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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